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March 17, 2017

How many digits into pi do you need to go to find your birthday?

Filed in Ideas ,R
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FIND YOUR BIRTHDAY IN PI, IN THREE DIFFERENT FORMATS

It was Pi Day (March 14, like 3/14, like 3.14, get it?) recently and Time Magazine did a fun interactive app in which you can find your birthday inside the digits of pi.

However:
1) They only used one format of birthday, in which July 4th would be 704. But there are other ways to write July 4. Like 0704 or 74. And those must be investigated, right?
2) Our friend Dave Pennock said he wanted to see the locations of every possible birthday inside pi.

So here they are. Enjoy! And R code below if you are interested. Plot and other stuff use Hadley Wickham’s Tidyverse tools.

And what the heck, have a spreadsheet of fun (i.e., spreadsheet with all the birthdays and locations in it). And here are 100,000 digits of pi, too.

ADDENDUM
Just for completeness, let’s redo that plot using 100,000 random numbers instead of the digits of pi.

Yep, pretty similar!

Birthday location Shorter form location Shortest form loc
01-01 2563 1-01 853 1-1 95
01-02 6599 1-02 164 1-2 149
01-03 25991 1-03 3487 1-3 111
01-04 1219 1-04 270 1-4 2
01-05 3982 1-05 50 1-5 4
01-06 1011 1-06 1012 1-6 41
01-07 23236 1-07 1488 1-7 96
01-08 16216 1-08 2535 1-8 425
01-09 4555 1-09 207 1-9 38
01-10 3253 1-10 175 1-10 175
01-11 19627 1-11 154 1-11 154
01-12 4449 1-12 710 1-12 710
01-13 362 1-13 363 1-13 363
01-14 4678 1-14 2725 1-14 2725
01-15 27576 1-15 922 1-15 922
01-16 5776 1-16 396 1-16 396
01-17 6290 1-17 95 1-17 95
01-18 7721 1-18 446 1-18 446
01-19 494 1-19 495 1-19 495
01-20 43172 1-20 244 1-20 244
01-21 6305 1-21 711 1-21 711
01-22 660 1-22 484 1-22 484
01-23 27847 1-23 1925 1-23 1925
01-24 8619 1-24 1081 1-24 1081
01-25 15458 1-25 1351 1-25 1351
01-26 4372 1-26 2014 1-26 2014
01-27 9693 1-27 298 1-27 298
01-28 1199 1-28 149 1-28 149
01-29 2341 1-29 500 1-29 500
01-30 5748 1-30 745 1-30 745
01-31 5742 1-31 1097 1-31 1097
02-01 9803 2-01 245 2-1 94
02-02 7287 2-02 1514 2-2 136
02-03 3831 2-03 1051 2-3 17
02-04 28185 2-04 375 2-4 293
02-05 12631 2-05 1327 2-5 90
02-06 9809 2-06 885 2-6 7
02-07 14839 2-07 2374 2-7 29
02-08 6141 2-08 77 2-8 34
02-09 24361 2-09 54 2-9 187
02-10 9918 2-10 1318 2-10 1318
02-11 4353 2-11 94 2-11 94
02-12 30474 2-12 712 2-12 712
02-13 524 2-13 281 2-13 281
02-14 10340 2-14 103 2-14 103
02-15 24666 2-15 3099 2-15 3099
02-16 4384 2-16 992 2-16 992
02-17 546 2-17 547 2-17 547
02-18 2866 2-18 424 2-18 424
02-19 716 2-19 717 2-19 717
02-20 15715 2-20 1911 2-20 1911
02-21 17954 2-21 1737 2-21 1737
02-22 1889 2-22 1736 2-22 1736
02-23 25113 2-23 136 2-23 136
02-24 12782 2-24 536 2-24 536
02-25 3019 2-25 1071 2-25 1071
02-26 6742 2-26 965 2-26 965
02-27 18581 2-27 485 2-27 485
02-28 4768 2-28 2528 2-28 2528
02-29 6707 2-29 186 2-29 186
03-01 1045 3-01 493 3-1 1
03-02 1439 3-02 818 3-2 16
03-03 15339 3-03 195 3-3 25
03-04 4460 3-04 4461 3-4 87
03-05 29985 3-05 366 3-5 10
03-06 3102 3-06 116 3-6 286
03-07 3813 3-07 65 3-7 47
03-08 35207 3-08 520 3-8 18
03-09 5584 3-09 421 3-9 44
03-10 7692 3-10 442 3-10 442
03-11 11254 3-11 846 3-11 846
03-12 11647 3-12 2632 3-12 2632
03-13 858 3-13 859 3-13 859
03-14 3496 3-14 1 3-14 1
03-15 8285 3-15 314 3-15 314
03-16 13008 3-16 238 3-16 238
03-17 4778 3-17 138 3-17 138
03-18 7291 3-18 797 3-18 797
03-19 4530 3-19 1166 3-19 1166
03-20 3767 3-20 600 3-20 600
03-21 18810 3-21 960 3-21 960
03-22 12744 3-22 3434 3-22 3434
03-23 8948 3-23 16 3-23 16
03-24 16475 3-24 2495 3-24 2495
03-25 12524 3-25 3147 3-25 3147
03-26 7634 3-26 275 3-26 275
03-27 9208 3-27 28 3-27 28
03-28 24341 3-28 112 3-28 112
03-29 16096 3-29 3333 3-29 3333
03-30 2568 3-30 365 3-30 365
03-31 13852 3-31 1128 3-31 1128
04-01 19625 4-01 1198 4-1 3
04-02 17679 4-02 1368 4-2 93
04-03 4776 4-03 724 4-3 24
04-04 1272 4-04 1273 4-4 60
04-05 10748 4-05 596 4-5 61
04-06 39577 4-06 71 4-6 20
04-07 4258 4-07 2008 4-7 120
04-08 5602 4-08 146 4-8 88
04-09 33757 4-09 340 4-9 58
04-10 11495 4-10 163 4-10 163
04-11 9655 4-11 2497 4-11 2497
04-12 20103 4-12 297 4-12 297
04-13 6460 4-13 1076 4-13 1076
04-14 3756 4-14 385 4-14 385
04-15 7735 4-15 3 4-15 3
04-16 10206 4-16 1709 4-16 1709
04-17 15509 4-17 1419 4-17 1419
04-18 7847 4-18 728 4-18 728
04-19 4790 4-19 37 4-19 37
04-20 3286 4-20 702 4-20 702
04-21 16028 4-21 93 4-21 93
04-22 4796 4-22 1840 4-22 1840
04-23 8220 4-23 2995 4-23 2995
04-24 1878 4-24 1110 4-24 1110
04-25 5716 4-25 822 4-25 822
04-26 1392 4-26 1393 4-26 1393
04-27 36946 4-27 630 4-27 630
04-28 910 4-28 203 4-28 203
04-29 4514 4-29 1230 4-29 1230
04-30 4619 4-30 519 4-30 519
05-01 21816 5-01 1344 5-1 49
05-02 25156 5-02 32 5-2 173
05-03 19743 5-03 838 5-3 9
05-04 9475 5-04 1921 5-4 192
05-05 36575 5-05 132 5-5 131
05-06 2094 5-06 1116 5-6 211
05-07 683 5-07 684 5-7 405
05-08 14658 5-08 1122 5-8 11
05-09 17171 5-09 1147 5-9 5
05-10 10274 5-10 49 5-10 49
05-11 444 5-11 395 5-11 395
05-12 2294 5-12 1843 5-12 1843
05-13 597 5-13 110 5-13 110
05-14 42236 5-14 2118 5-14 2118
05-15 10458 5-15 1100 5-15 1100
05-16 5367 5-16 3516 5-16 3516
05-17 24365 5-17 2109 5-17 2109
05-18 751 5-18 471 5-18 471
05-19 17096 5-19 390 5-19 390
05-20 20247 5-20 326 5-20 326
05-21 19553 5-21 173 5-21 173
05-22 2041 5-22 535 5-22 535
05-23 4317 5-23 579 5-23 579
05-24 15635 5-24 1615 5-24 1615
05-25 3233 5-25 1006 5-25 1006
05-26 3984 5-26 613 5-26 613
05-27 7300 5-27 241 5-27 241
05-28 18917 5-28 867 5-28 867
05-29 6373 5-29 1059 5-29 1059
05-30 367 5-30 368 5-30 368
05-31 26607 5-31 2871 5-31 2871
06-01 2400 6-01 1218 6-1 220
06-02 14854 6-02 291 6-2 21
06-03 9019 6-03 264 6-3 313
06-04 1172 6-04 1173 6-4 23
06-05 5681 6-05 750 6-5 8
06-06 13163 6-06 311 6-6 118
06-07 10861 6-07 287 6-7 99
06-08 13912 6-08 618 6-8 606
06-09 3376 6-09 128 6-9 42
06-10 13704 6-10 269 6-10 269
06-11 7448 6-11 427 6-11 427
06-12 11585 6-12 220 6-12 220
06-13 7490 6-13 971 6-13 971
06-14 2887 6-14 1612 6-14 1612
06-15 25066 6-15 1030 6-15 1030
06-16 6017 6-16 1206 6-16 1206
06-17 886 6-17 887 6-17 887
06-18 14424 6-18 1444 6-18 1444
06-19 6351 6-19 843 6-19 843
06-20 14967 6-20 76 6-20 76
06-21 2819 6-21 2820 6-21 2820
06-22 30206 6-22 185 6-22 185
06-23 51529 6-23 456 6-23 456
06-24 5491 6-24 510 6-24 510
06-25 5971 6-25 1569 6-25 1569
06-26 16707 6-26 21 6-26 21
06-27 5424 6-27 462 6-27 462
06-28 72 6-28 73 6-28 73
06-29 11928 6-29 571 6-29 571
06-30 10902 6-30 1900 6-30 1900
07-01 10640 7-01 167 7-1 40
07-02 544 7-02 545 7-2 140
07-03 10108 7-03 408 7-3 300
07-04 9882 7-04 2670 7-4 57
07-05 9233 7-05 561 7-5 48
07-06 5134 7-06 97 7-6 570
07-07 3815 7-07 755 7-7 560
07-08 8111 7-08 3061 7-8 67
07-09 3641 7-09 121 7-9 14
07-10 3169 7-10 681 7-10 681
07-11 4250 7-11 1185 7-11 1185
07-12 7695 7-12 243 7-12 243
07-13 36438 7-13 627 7-13 627
07-14 9546 7-14 610 7-14 610
07-15 5668 7-15 344 7-15 344
07-16 10242 7-16 40 7-16 40
07-17 15743 7-17 568 7-17 568
07-18 2988 7-18 2776 7-18 2776
07-19 8664 7-19 541 7-19 541
07-20 44221 7-20 1009 7-20 1009
07-21 756 7-21 650 7-21 650
07-22 2375 7-22 2140 7-22 2140
07-23 3300 7-23 1632 7-23 1632
07-24 8811 7-24 302 7-24 302
07-25 16244 7-25 140 7-25 140
07-26 288 7-26 289 7-26 289
07-27 12328 7-27 406 7-27 406
07-28 4879 7-28 1584 7-28 1584
07-29 4078 7-29 771 7-29 771
07-30 6892 7-30 898 7-30 898
07-31 2808 7-31 785 7-31 785
08-01 9508 8-01 3418 8-1 68
08-02 18639 8-02 1993 8-2 53
08-03 8283 8-03 85 8-3 27
08-04 1284 8-04 775 8-4 19
08-05 2292 8-05 957 8-5 172
08-06 9289 8-06 968 8-6 75
08-07 15787 8-07 451 8-7 306
08-08 4545 8-08 106 8-8 35
08-09 3009 8-09 1003 8-9 12
08-10 3207 8-10 206 8-10 206
08-11 10884 8-11 153 8-11 153
08-12 147 8-12 148 8-12 148
08-13 10981 8-13 734 8-13 734
08-14 4274 8-14 882 8-14 882
08-15 25257 8-15 324 8-15 324
08-16 1601 8-16 68 8-16 68
08-17 4857 8-17 319 8-17 319
08-18 30399 8-18 490 8-18 490
08-19 12786 8-19 198 8-19 198
08-20 4787 8-20 53 8-20 53
08-21 12923 8-21 102 8-21 102
08-22 5149 8-22 135 8-22 135
08-23 11957 8-23 114 8-23 114
08-24 10358 8-24 1196 8-24 1196
08-25 828 8-25 89 8-25 89
08-26 4294 8-26 2059 8-26 2059
08-27 619 8-27 620 8-27 620
08-28 24614 8-28 2381 8-28 2381
08-29 1123 8-29 335 8-29 335
08-30 816 8-30 492 8-30 492
08-31 25355 8-31 237 8-31 237
09-01 658 9-01 659 9-1 250
09-02 2074 9-02 715 9-2 6
09-03 6335 9-03 357 9-3 15
09-04 8107 9-04 909 9-4 59
09-05 23683 9-05 3191 9-5 31
09-06 8297 9-06 1294 9-6 181
09-07 2986 9-07 543 9-7 13
09-08 7828 9-08 815 9-8 81
09-09 12077 9-09 248 9-9 45
09-10 17009 9-10 2874 9-10 2874
09-11 6125 9-11 1534 9-11 1534
09-12 29379 9-12 483 9-12 483
09-13 17515 9-13 1096 9-13 1096
09-14 249 9-14 250 9-14 250
09-15 3413 9-15 1315 9-15 1315
09-16 5930 9-16 3370 9-16 3370
09-17 341 9-17 342 9-17 342
09-18 4731 9-18 2220 9-18 2220
09-19 2127 9-19 417 9-19 417
09-20 328 9-20 329 9-20 329
09-21 422 9-21 423 9-21 423
09-22 7963 9-22 687 9-22 687
09-23 23216 9-23 63 9-23 63
09-24 5122 9-24 1430 9-24 1430
09-25 4008 9-25 337 9-25 337
09-26 5380 9-26 6 9-26 6
09-27 1177 9-27 977 9-27 977
09-28 5768 9-28 2192 9-28 2192
09-29 7785 9-29 1854 9-29 1854
09-30 1494 9-30 194 9-30 194
10-01 15762 10-01 15762 10-1 853
10-02 6740 10-02 6740 10-2 164
10-03 12292 10-03 12292 10-3 3487
10-04 3849 10-04 3849 10-4 270
10-05 2881 10-05 2881 10-5 50
10-06 3481 10-06 3481 10-6 1012
10-07 4076 10-07 4076 10-7 1488
10-08 8281 10-08 8281 10-8 2535
10-09 1817 10-09 1817 10-9 207
10-10 853 10-10 853 10-10 853
10-11 3846 10-11 3846 10-11 3846
10-12 8618 10-12 8618 10-12 8618
10-13 8271 10-13 8271 10-13 8271
10-14 2781 10-14 2781 10-14 2781
10-15 2564 10-15 2564 10-15 2564
10-16 9987 10-16 9987 10-16 9987
10-17 8041 10-17 8041 10-17 8041
10-18 1224 10-18 1224 10-18 1224
10-19 15483 10-19 15483 10-19 15483
10-20 9808 10-20 9808 10-20 9808
10-21 2750 10-21 2750 10-21 2750
10-22 6400 10-22 6400 10-22 6400
10-23 6771 10-23 6771 10-23 6771
10-24 12736 10-24 12736 10-24 12736
10-25 12926 10-25 12926 10-25 12926
10-26 14679 10-26 14679 10-26 14679
10-27 164 10-27 164 10-27 164
10-28 3242 10-28 3242 10-28 3242
10-29 8197 10-29 8197 10-29 8197
10-30 20819 10-30 20819 10-30 20819
10-31 3495 10-31 3495 10-31 3495
11-01 2780 11-01 2780 11-1 154
11-02 12721 11-02 12721 11-2 710
11-03 3494 11-03 3494 11-3 363
11-04 23842 11-04 23842 11-4 2725
11-05 175 11-05 175 11-5 922
11-06 13461 11-06 13461 11-6 396
11-07 21819 11-07 21819 11-7 95
11-08 7450 11-08 7450 11-8 446
11-09 3254 11-09 3254 11-9 495
11-10 22898 11-10 22898 11-10 22898
11-11 12701 11-11 12701 11-11 12701
11-12 12702 11-12 12702 11-12 12702
11-13 3504 11-13 3504 11-13 3504
11-14 23209 11-14 23209 11-14 23209
11-15 27054 11-15 27054 11-15 27054
11-16 3993 11-16 3993 11-16 3993
11-17 154 11-17 154 11-17 154
11-18 14376 11-18 14376 11-18 14376
11-19 984 11-19 984 11-19 984
11-20 3823 11-20 3823 11-20 3823
11-21 710 11-21 710 11-21 710
11-22 12018 11-22 12018 11-22 12018
11-23 6548 11-23 6548 11-23 6548
11-24 25705 11-24 25705 11-24 25705
11-25 1350 11-25 1350 11-25 1350
11-26 12703 11-26 12703 11-26 12703
11-27 4252 11-27 4252 11-27 4252
11-28 14719 11-28 14719 11-28 14719
11-29 4450 11-29 4450 11-29 4450
11-30 9107 11-30 9107 11-30 9107
12-01 244 12-01 244 12-1 711
12-02 19942 12-02 19942 12-2 484
12-03 60873 12-03 60873 12-3 1925
12-04 11885 12-04 11885 12-4 1081
12-05 3329 12-05 3329 12-5 1351
12-06 3259 12-06 3259 12-6 2014
12-07 7511 12-07 7511 12-7 298
12-08 3714 12-08 3714 12-8 149
12-09 4729 12-09 4729 12-9 500
12-10 3456 12-10 3456 12-10 3456
12-11 50289 12-11 50289 12-11 50289
12-12 711 12-12 711 12-12 711
12-13 47502 12-13 47502 12-13 47502
12-14 4560 12-14 4560 12-14 4560
12-15 11942 12-15 11942 12-15 11942
12-16 6986 12-16 6986 12-16 6986
12-17 11078 12-17 11078 12-17 11078
12-18 9167 12-18 9167 12-18 9167
12-19 1426 12-19 1426 12-19 1426
12-20 36498 12-20 36498 12-20 36498
12-21 8732 12-21 8732 12-21 8732
12-22 17882 12-22 17882 12-22 17882
12-23 9550 12-23 9550 12-23 9550
12-24 661 12-24 661 12-24 661
12-25 9417 12-25 9417 12-25 9417
12-26 964 12-26 964 12-26 964
12-27 484 12-27 484 12-27 484
12-28 5183 12-28 5183 12-28 5183
12-29 30418 12-29 30418 12-29 30418
12-30 7146 12-30 7146 12-30 7146
12-31 9451 12-31 9451 12-31 9451

R CODE

library(ggplot2)
library(readr)
library(stringr)
library(tidyr)
pistring = read_file("pi.txt")
#choose 2016 b/c it's a leap year
dayvec = seq(as.Date('2016-01-01'), as.Date('2016-12-31'), by = 1)
dayvec = str_sub(dayvec, start = 6, end = 10)
shorterdayvec = sub("0(.-.)", "\\1", dayvec)
shortestdayvec = sub("(.-)0(.)$", "\\1\\2", shorterdayvec)
df = data.frame(
birthday = dayvec,
loc = str_locate(pistring, gsub("-", "", dayvec))[, 1],
shorter_bday = shorterdayvec,
shorter_loc = str_locate(pistring, gsub("-", "", shorterdayvec))[, 1],
shortest_bday = shortestdayvec,
shortest_loc = str_locate(pistring, gsub("-", "", shortestdayvec))[, 1]
)
write.csv(df, file = "birthdays_in_pi.csv", row.names = FALSE)
long_df = df %>% gather(key, location, loc, shorter_loc, shortest_loc)
p = ggplot(long_df, aes(x = location, fill = key))
p = p + geom_density(alpha = .3)
p = p + coord_cartesian(xlim = c(0, 40000))
p = p + theme(legend.position = "bottom")
p
ggsave(
plot = p,
file = "birthdays_in_pi.pdf",
height = 4,
width = 4
)
#now repeat with random numbers
randstring = paste(replicate(100000, {
floor(10 * runif(1))
}), collapse = "")
#check our work
table(str_split(randstring,""))
df_rand = data.frame(
birthday = dayvec,
loc = str_locate(randstring, gsub("-", "", dayvec))[, 1],
shorter_bday = shorterdayvec,
shorter_loc = str_locate(randstring, gsub("-", "", shorterdayvec))[, 1],
shortest_bday = shortestdayvec,
shortest_loc = str_locate(randstring, gsub("-", "", shortestdayvec))[, 1]
)
long_df_rand = df_rand %>% gather(key, location, loc, shorter_loc, shortest_loc)
p = ggplot(long_df_rand, aes(x = location, fill = key))
p = p + geom_density(alpha = .3)
p = p + coord_cartesian(xlim = c(0, 40000))
p = p + theme(legend.position = "bottom")
p
ggsave(
plot = p,
file = "birthdays_in_random.png",
height = 4,
width = 4
)

March 7, 2017

Learn some statistics this summer

Filed in Programs ,SJDM
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SUMMER STATISTICS AND METHODS COURSES 2017

….

An important part of our stats education was Steven Stigler’s lesson on the Quincunx

Alan Reifman maintains a list of summer statistics and methods courses that would be of interest to those looking to refresh or expand upon their skills.

Here is the list for 2017. Enjoy!

best,
Dan

Image credit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bean_machine

March 1, 2017

Two jobs at Columbia University

Filed in Jobs
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IN THE CITY OF NEW YORK

Decision Science News started at Columbia University. In fact, it was a postdoc at the Center for the Decision Sciences (position 2) below. Maybe you can get one of these jobs and become a decision science blog too?

POSTING 1:

Rank Tenured Associate or Full Professor Position at Columbia University, Department of Psychology

Columbia University Department of Psychology invites applications for a position at the rank tenured associate or full professor to begin July 1, 2018. While applicants in other areas of research will be considered, we are especially interested in individuals with expertise in cognitive science whose research focuses on the psychological and brain bases of decision-making.

Responsibilities include undergraduate and graduate teaching and the development of a vigorous research program. Moreover, we seek applicants who are interested in taking a leadership role in the department and in this program area as we maintain the excellence of a strong decision-making program through the department and University.

For more information about the Department of Psychology please visit: https://psychology.columbia.edu. Please note that all applications must be submitted through the online application site:
academicjobs.columbia.edu/applicants/Central?quickFind=64061.

Review of applications will begin on March 15, 2017 and will continue until the position is filled.

Columbia University is an Equal Opportunity/Affirmative Action employer. The University is especially interested in qualified candidates whose record of achievement will contribute to the diversity goals of the institution.

POSTING 2:

Post-Doctoral Researcher, Center for Decision Sciences, Columbia University

The Center for Decision Sciences (CDS), is seeking an outstanding researcher for a Post-Doctoral Researcher position starting in the Fall of 2017, or later. CDS is an interdisciplinary center that facilitates research and understanding on consumer behavior, the implications of decision making on public policy, and the neurological underpinnings of judgment and decision making. This appointment will be in Columbia’s Graduate School of Business.

The post-doctoral researcher will report to the center’s Director Eric J. Johnson, and will collaborate with other center researchers, post-docs, and graduate students across disciplines. The post-doc will assist in planning and carrying out web-based surveys, lab research, and field studies, and analyzing general patterns of responses as well as individual and cultural differences. S/He we will be expected to employ a combination of approaches, from the identification and analysis of existing real-world data sets arising as the result of natural experiments, to the design and analysis of field or lab intervention studies that collect process and outcome measures related to decision making in various domains. We are particularly interested in candidates with computational modeling and strong statistical skills.

Other duties include contribution to other ongoing center projects, preparation of and participation in CDS workshops, and drafting reports and papers for publication.

*Required qualifications*:
* Ph.D. in psychology (cognitive, social, or other relevant subdisciplines), consumer behavior, behavioral economics, decision sciences, or another relevant discipline.
* Familiarity with normative and descriptive theories of decision making.
* Skilled in the use of laboratory-based experiments.
* Data analysis and modeling skills using statistical software packages
(preferably R) and econometrics.
* Proficiency in web-based computer programming (online experimentation
and surveys).

*Desired qualifications*:
* Publications
* Experience working as a member of interdisciplinary teams.
* Some familiarity with econometrics and modeling.
* Proficiency in use of process tracing software (e.g., MouseLab/Web and/or eye-movement packages).

*Duration*: This is a one-year position with the possibility of renewal for a second year conditional on performance.

Please submit applications electronically to Brian Huh at brian@decisionsciences.columbia.edu

*Application Materials*:
– Cover letter
– CV
– 2 publications or writing samples
– 2 recommendation letters (to be submitted directly by references)

Columbia University is an equal opportunity/affirmative action — Disability/Veterans employer.

February 21, 2017

Advances in Decision Analysis 2017 Conference Austin, TX, June 26-27, 2017

Filed in Conferences
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DEADLINE MARCH 3, 2017

We are pleased to announce Advances in Decision Analysis 2017, a conference organized by the Decision Analysis Society. This conference-the second of its kind-will be held June 26-27, 2017 at The University of Texas at Austin in Austin, Texas.

The conference aims to develop and promote work fit for the Decision Analysis areas in Management Science and Operations Research and the Decision Analysis journal. The conference will provide a platform for interdisciplinary discussions and will include talks by researchers in statistics, economics, psychology, and other decision-making related disciplines with a prescriptive focus.

We are also pleased to announce that Professor Jim Dyer of the McCombs School of Business at The University of Texas at Austin will offer the opening plenary. A second plenary talk will be given by Bill Klimack of Chevron.

Details on abstract submission and registration are available on the conference site. (See the links on the lower left of the page.)

We hope you will join us at the Advances in Decision Analysis 2017 Conference to enjoy the research talks and take in the sights of Austin TX!

General Chair: Casey Lichtendahl (University of Virginia).
Local Chair: John Butler (UT-Austin).
Steering Committee: Bob Winkler (Duke University), Detlof Von Winterfeldt (University of Southern California), Manel Baucells (University of Virginia), and Ali Abbas (University of Southern California).
Organizing Committee: General and Local Chairs, Eric Bickel (UT-Austin), Jason Merrick (VCU), Joe Hahn (UT-Austin), and Yael Grushka-Cockayne (University of Virginia).

For questions: please contact Casey Lichtendahl (lichtendahlc at darden.virginia.edu) or John Butler (John.Butler2 at mccombs.utexas.edu).

Submitting Conference Abstracts
We are now accepting abstracts focusing on statistics, economics, psychology, and other decision-making related disciplines with a prescriptive focus. Submissions will undergo a peer-review process. Those not selected for presentation may be invited to present a poster.

* Submission deadline: Monday, March 3, 2017
* Notification of acceptance: March 26, 2017
* Please submit in PDF format both a short abstract (not to exceed 200 characters) and a one-page extended abstract (about 500 words). If you choose, you can upload a full paper in PDF format, instead of the one-page abstract, but this is not required.
* You are permitted only one abstract as a presenting author (speaker)
* You can be a co-author on other abstracts.
* As the presenting author, you are expected to present the work at the conference.

Submit Your Abstract Online (link)

Register for the Conference (link)
Note: all attendees must register and pay the registration fee. Early registration deadline is 6/2/2017.

Venue and Hotels

The conference will be held in the UT Alumni Center at 2110 San Jacinto Blvd, Austin, TX 78712. See https://www.etterharbinalumnicenter.com/. The two closest hotels are

AT&T Executive Education and Conference Center (0.5 miles)
1900 University Ave, Austin, TX 78705

Hampton Inn & Suites (0.7 miles)
1701 Lavaca St, Austin, TX 78701

February 15, 2017

2017 Summer Institute on Bounded Rationality, Berlin, June 6-14, 2017

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APPLICATION DEADLINE 12 MARCH 2017

We are delighted to announce that the 2017 Summer Institute on Bounded Rationality will take place on June 06–14th, 2017, at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin, Germany.

The Summer Institute brings together talented young researchers and renowned scientists from around the globe and aims to spark a dialogue on human decision making.

It offers a forum for young scholars from various disciplines to share their approaches, discuss their research, and be inspired.
The program will cover the fundamentals, methodology, and recent findings on bounded rationality. This year’s Summer Institute focuses on how and why simple models of bounded rationality make accurate predictions in an uncertain world.

On behalf of the directors of the Summer Institute, Gerd Gigerenzer and Ralph Hertwig, we invite young decision-making scholars from all fields to apply. Participation will be free, accommodation will be provided, and travel expenses will be partly reimbursed.

Applications are open until March 12, 2017.

Apply here: bit.ly/SI2017_apply

Please feel free to email any questions you might have to si2017 at mpib-berlin.mpg.de

To pass on this call for applications, you can find a pdf-version here: bit.ly/SI2017_cfa

February 9, 2017

NIPS 2017 Call for Competitions. Deadline March 15, 2017

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COMPETITION PROPOSALS: 2017 NEURAL INFORMATION PROCESSING SYSTEMS 2017 CONFERENCE

We invite competition proposals for the 2017 Neural Information Processing Systems 2017 conference in Long Beach, CA. NIPS has had traditionally a demonstration track with competition for best demo (also available for NIPS 2017). The call for competitions corresponds to a completely new NIPS track/special session.

We solicit competition proposals on any topic of interests to the NIPS community. We especially encourage competition proposals that are stemmed from emerging new fields or new application domains related to NIPS. Interdisciplinary topics that could attract a significant cross- section of the community are highly valued.

There will be two kinds of competitions:

Standard data science driven competitions, where participants will compete to obtain the best score on a machine learning problem of interest to the NIPS community based on a problem and data defined and released by the organizers of the competition.
Live competitions, which will be held in a science-fair manner at NIPS: Participants will present demos at NIPS which apply NIPS methodology in a particular application domain defined by the organizers of the Live competition.

There will be time slots during NIPS or the workshops where competition results can be discussed and presented. Organizers will propose a tentative schedule for the presentation of the competition and its results based on the assigned time slot. The main conference will provide coffee breaks and, if necessary, poster facilities. For any additional questions please contact the competition chairs.

Both competition organizers and participants will be invited to contribute with a book chapter for inclusion in the upcoming NIPS 2017 Competition book, within the Springer Series on Challenges in Machine Learning (pending acceptance, we have contacted Springer to arrange for proceedings).

DATA SCIENCE COMPETITION PROPOSAL SUBMISSION

Regular data science driven competition proposals must be sent to the competition chairs, with email subject “NIPS17 Competition Proposal: [title of your competition]”. Please carefully follow the available “CompNIPS2017” template to apply for the competition.
Live COMPETITION PROPOSAL SUBMISSION

Live competition proposals must be sent to the competition chairs, with email subject “NIPS17 Live Competition Proposal: [title of your competition]”. Please follow the available “LiveNIPS2017” template to apply for the Live competition. A very important requirement for the Live competition acceptance is the plan for recruiting participants.
Schedule

Competition proposal submission deadline
15th March, 2017

Acceptance notification
1st April, 2017

Book chapter submission from organizers and participants to the Springer Series on Challenges in Machine Learning: NIPS 2017 Competitions volume
15th January, 2018

Book chapter acceptance notification
15th March, 2018

Camera ready submission
15th April, 2018

Tentative publication of the book
1st July, 2018

ADDITIONAL COMMENTS TO COMPETITION PROPOSERS

In case your proposal contains a “regular data science” track and a “Live” track, please submit both available templates for revision. It may happen that only one of them is accepted.

Competition organizers should propose a timeline for running the competition to ensure participants to have enough time to contribute with a high quality solution. It is recommended the whole competition to be finished as late by the end of October, 2017.

Proposers with a competition proposal that may require help/suggestions regarding the competition platform to run the competition can contact the competition chairs for advice.

COMPETITION CHAIRS

Dr. Sergio Escalera, sergio.escalera.guerrero@gmail.com
Dr. Markus Weimer, markus@weimo.de

February 2, 2017

ACR 2017 San Diego, Oct 26-29, 2017. Deadline March 10

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CALL FOR PAPERS: ASSOCIATION FOR CONSUMER RESEARCH (ACR) 2017 CONFERENCE

What: Association for Consumer Research North American Conference
When: October 26 – 29, 2017
Where: San Diego, California
Hotel: Manchester Grand Hyatt, 1 Market Pl, San Diego, CA 92101
Submission Deadline: March 10, 2017
Conference website: http://www.acrweb.org/acr/
Call for papers: Call for papers PDF
Conference email: acr2017@umn.edu
Map:

We are delighted to invite you to participate in the 2017 North American Conference of the Association for Consumer Research. We hope you can join us in San Diego, CA, from Thursday, October 26 through Sunday, October 29, 2017, for this exciting conference. Known as California’s “birthplace,” San Diego embodies Southern California culture and is known worldwide as one of the world’s best tourist destinations, year – round. With nearly perfect weather, 70 miles of beautiful coastline, more than 30 sandy beaches, golf courses and major attractions (such as the San Diego Zoo), there is something for everyone. The conference hotel, the Manchester Grand Hyatt, is located on San Diego Bay, and is steps away from the Gaslamp District, 16 – blocks of Victorian – era building s home to some of the City’s best restaurants, bars, clubs, theaters and galleries

January 23, 2017

SPUDM conference, Israel, August 20-24, 2017. Deadline: March 15th , 2017.

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CALL FOR PAPERS: SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY, UTILITY AND DECISION MAKING (SPUDM)

Submission deadline: March 15th , 2017

The European Association for Decision Making invites submissions for presentations, posters and/or symposia for its 2017 Subjective Probability, Utility and Decision Making (SPUDM 26) Conference to be held at the Technion – the Israel Institute of Technology in Haifa, Israel, from Sunday August 20 to Thursday August 24, 2017.

All submissions must be made electronically.
Invited keynote speakers:
Alvin E. Roth, Stanford University, USA
Debora Estrin, Cornell Tech, USA
Ido Erev, Technion, Israel
Presidential Address by EADM president:
Andreas Glöckner, Göttingen University, Germany

The conference focus will combine traditional topics as well as new directions in Judgment and Decision Making research.

More details and submission guidelines are available on the conference website — https://spudm2017.net.technion.ac.il/call-for-papers/

For further assistance please contact the organizing committee at Spudm26@idc.ac.il<mailto:Spudm26@idc.ac.il>

We are looking forward to welcoming you in Haifa.

SPUDM 26 organizing committee:

* Shahar Ayal, IDC Herzelia
* David Budescu, Fordham University
* Ido Erev, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology
* Andreas Glöckner, Göttingen University
* Ilana Ritov, Hebrew University
* Shaul Shalvi, University of Amsterdam
* Richárd Szántó, Corvinus University of Budapest

January 20, 2017

Edward Cokely wins FABBS 2017 Early Career Impact Award

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2017 FABBS AWARD WINNER FROM THE SOCIETY FOR JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING

FABBS (Federation of Associations in Behavioral and Brain Sciences) just announced the 2017 Early Career Impact Award winners. This award is presented to early career scientists of FABBS member societies during the first 10 years post-PhD and recognizes scientists who have made major contributions to the sciences of mind, brain, and behavior. The goal is to enhance public visibility of these sciences and the particular research through the dissemination efforts of the FABBS in collaboration with the member societies and award winners.

For the Society for Judgment and Decision Making, the 2017 winner is Edward Cokely of the University of Oklahoma.

Dr. Edward Cokely has made significant advances in the psychology of skilled decision making, with applications in risk communication and adaptive technology. He is known for his research on cognitive abilities and inclusive decision education. In addition, Dr. Cokely’s research has advanced frontiers in our scientific understanding of simple, effective decision aids, visual aids, and training programs including adaptive computerized tutors to improve high-stakes decision making among diverse and vulnerable individuals who vary widely in ability, proficiency, education, background, and country of residence.

A passage from one of his papers shows his conviction that people, regardless of background, can improve their decision making ability:

For more than a century people have used theoretical assumptions to argue that general intelligence constrains decision making quality, causing substantial differences in human potential and outcomes…[with implications for] the structure of our policies, rights, institutions, and welfare practices. […] Setting aside moral and ethical outrage, at the heart of the scientific issue is a basic question about whether or not abilities actually constrain decision quality. [Our] experiments, training programs, and cognitive process tracing studies provide converging causal evidence [that] skilled decision making generally does not require high-levels of fluid intelligence or special abstract reasoning capacities… [With the right support] nearly anyone has the ability to make well-informed and skilled decisions so long as they understand risks.

In his writings, Dr. Cokely discusses how these findings present both research opportunities and substantial scientific responsibilities (for example, all else equal, informed decision making is an ethical imperative). This foundation serves as the scientific and ethical basis for his efforts to nurture risk literacy and support science for informed decision making.

In fewer than ten years after earning his PhD, Dr. Cokely has published over 60 papers which have been cited over 2,000 times. In the same time period, he has mentored 10 PhD students and secured more than $2,000,000 dollars in funding for research and student support. His research has been featured in Scientific American, New Scientist Magazine, Chronicle of Higher Education, and other media outlets such as the New York Times and Wall Street Journal Online. He’s received several major awards including a 2013 National Science Foundation CAREER Award and the APA’s Award for Best Research Paper in Applied Experimental Psychology (2012).

Dr. Cokely has developed the Berlin Numeracy Tests and associated outreach efforts via www.RiskLiteracy.org, a multinational collaborative informed decision making project. Today, more than 100,000 people from 166 countries have taken one of the Berlin Numeracy Tests. Hundreds of recent studies by research groups from business, psychology, economics, political science, law, medicine, social work, forestry, and other fields have published decision making research using the Berlin Numeracy Tests, improving our understanding of the needs and processes of diverse decision makers in more than 50 countries.

Dr. Cokely serves as Presidential Research Professor and Associate Professor of Psychology, and co-founding faculty of the National Institute for Risk & Resilience, at the University of Oklahoma and was previously a postdoctoral fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development after earning his doctorate in psychology from Florida State University.

January 11, 2017

Early-Career Behavioral Economics Conference (ECBE) Pittsburgh, 16-17 June 2017

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CALL FOR PAPERS

Following the success of the ECBE Conferences in 2015 and 2016 we are happy to announce that the 3rd Early-Career Behavioral Economics Conference will take place in Pittsburgh on the 16-17 of June, 2017. The conference will be sponsored by the Russell Sage Foundation and hosted by The Department of Social and Decision Sciences at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU).

The Russell Sage Foundation is the principal American foundation devoted exclusively to research in the social sciences and was an early force in the development of behavioral economics. For more information, visit www.russellsage.org.

Objective

The goal of this conference is to provide a platform for researchers who are at an early stage of their academic career to present their research and receive feedback from peer discussants. The conference seeks to promote the development of a community of early-career behavioral economics researchers. George Loewenstein (CMU) and Linda Babcock (CMU) will be keynote speakers.

Eligibility

Any early-career behavioral economist is invited to apply. This includes graduate students, Post-Doctoral researchers, and Assistant Professors who received their Ph.D. after Spring 2012. We will select 20 applicants to present papers, and 20 additional applicants to serve as discussants. We encourage applications from early-career researchers who have not participated in ECBE.

Costs

There is no conference fee. Conference meals will be covered for invited participants. In cases where financial assistance is not available from a researcher’s university, hotel and economy class travel expenses will be reimbursed for presenters and discussants (up to $1000 for travel from Europe and up to $350 for travel from North America except Pittsburgh). Please note that participants are not eligible for financial assistance if they received financial assistance from RSF for participating in the 2015 ECBE.

How to Apply

To apply, please follow this link

http://rady.qualtrics.com/SE/?SID=SV_7TYIIeuF8l9ghGB

and complete the application by January 31, 2017. After completing the online form, you will be asked to email a pdf document which contains (1) an abbreviated CV (max. 3 pages) and (2) the paper you wish to present to ecbe2017@gmail.com. Extended abstracts will not be considered. Please merge these files in the specified order into a single pdf that does not exceed 16 MB. If financial assistance is needed, please indicate this in the application form.

The organizing committee and external reviewers will review the submissions and select the participants in collaboration with Linda Babcock (CMU). Selected participants will be notified by the end of March. For more information, please contact ecbe2017@gmail.com or visit the conference website: https://sites.google.com/site/ecbeconference.

We look forward to receiving your applications.