{"id":6771,"date":"2018-10-02T10:28:30","date_gmt":"2018-10-02T14:28:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=6771"},"modified":"2018-10-02T10:28:30","modified_gmt":"2018-10-02T14:28:30","slug":"lucky-streaks-put-into-perspective","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=6771","title":{"rendered":"Lucky streaks put into perspective"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USING A YEAR TO THINK ABOUT HOW LONG YOU NEED TO WAIT FOR A STREAK<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/flips_50_99.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/11\/flips_50_99s2.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<em><strong>Click to enlarge<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>The twitter account <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MathsEdIdeas\/status\/1046206986587656192\">Maths Ed Ideas<\/a> took one of our old posts and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dangoldstein.com\/papers\/Riederer_Hofman_Goldstein_Perspective_Analogies_CHI_2018.pdf\">put it into perspective<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">If you had flipped a coin once every day of the year so far, you would be more than 99% certain to have flipped 6 heads or 6 tails in a row by today, 30 September, the 273rd day of the year.  Via <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/dggoldst?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@dggoldst<\/a> \u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/m2Vt7gVbQv\">https:\/\/t.co\/m2Vt7gVbQv<\/a> \u2022 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Sk5brYKx6E\">https:\/\/t.co\/Sk5brYKx6E<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Gs9HB6XEwT\">pic.twitter.com\/Gs9HB6XEwT<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Maths Ed (@MathsEdIdeas) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MathsEdIdeas\/status\/1046206986587656192?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 30, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>We love it!<\/p>\n<p>Note: Since it&#8217;s now after Sept 29, you&#8217;re even more than 99% likely \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USING A YEAR TO THINK ABOUT HOW LONG YOU NEED TO WAIT FOR A STREAK Click to enlarge The twitter account Maths Ed Ideas took one of our old posts and put it into perspective. If you had flipped a coin once every day of the year so far, you would be more than 99% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[16],"tags":[1643,1775,117,341,1776,1089,1778,1118,1777,945],"class_list":["post-6771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ideas","tag-coin","tag-flip","tag-ideas-2","tag-math","tag-maths","tag-perspective","tag-sequence","tag-streak","tag-tweet","tag-year"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4LKj-1Ld","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6771"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6771\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6774,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6771\/revisions\/6774"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}