{"id":6631,"date":"2018-06-20T16:53:49","date_gmt":"2018-06-20T20:53:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=6631"},"modified":"2018-06-21T10:20:35","modified_gmt":"2018-06-21T14:20:35","slug":"probability-of-each-chess-piece-being-moved-on-move-x","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=6631","title":{"rendered":"Probability of each chess piece being moved on move X"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>GOING FROM ONE CHESS PLAYER TO MANY CHESS PLAYERS<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/aachess.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-6636\" src=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/aachess_s2.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"485\" height=\"270\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nClick to enlarge<\/p>\n<p>We were wasting time on the internet one day an saw a post entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reddit.com\/r\/dataisbeautiful\/comments\/84o8x2\/probability_of_a_chess_piece_being_moved_on_move\/\">Probability of a chess piece being moved on move X in a Vassily Ivanchuk game<\/a>. It featured this graphic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/xccdc2w6vwl01.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-6632\" src=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/x_sm.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"485\" height=\"180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/x_sm.png 485w, https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/x_sm-300x111.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 485px) 100vw, 485px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nClick to enlarge<\/p>\n<p>We then thought, &#8220;this post involves chess and data. Let&#8217;s send it to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cs.toronto.edu\/~ashton\/\">Ashton Anderson<\/a>, who loves chess and data.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>Ashton wrote back.<\/p>\n<p>Ashton: Ha yes, I saw this! Would be nice to have the diff between Ivanchuk and the average game. &#8220;Chucky&#8221;, as he&#8217;s known, is the mad genius of chess, but I doubt it manifests itself in what move number he moves particular pieces. <\/p>\n<p>Decision Science News: Good point. Just thought it was an interesting way to visualize things. Would be best IMO as an aggregate over all (good) players.<\/p>\n<p>[One hour passes]<\/p>\n<p>Ashton: Good idea! <\/p>\n<p>[then he posts the image below, which he computed incredibly fast]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/aachess.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-6636\" src=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/aachess_s2.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"485\" height=\"270\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nClick to enlarge<\/p>\n<p>Source is All professional games where both players are rated at least 2500 (grandmaster-level) from ~1950 to 2015 (214,000 games).<\/p>\n<p>Decision Science News: That was fast!<\/p>\n<p>At that point, we got permission to blog about this.<\/p>\n<p>Find Ashton&#8217;s R source code (which links the data) below<\/p>\n<p><script src=\"https:\/\/gist.github.com\/dggoldst\/556f489c619811160803714dce2e2143.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GOING FROM ONE CHESS PLAYER TO MANY CHESS PLAYERS Click to enlarge We were wasting time on the internet one day an saw a post entitled Probability of a chess piece being moved on move X in a Vassily Ivanchuk game. It featured this graphic. Click to enlarge We then thought, &#8220;this post involves chess [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[16],"tags":[1734,1733,1659,685,361,1736,1735,86,59],"class_list":["post-6631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ideas","tag-anderson","tag-ashton","tag-chess","tag-computer","tag-data","tag-move","tag-piece","tag-probability","tag-science"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4LKj-1IX","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6631","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6631"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6631\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6640,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6631\/revisions\/6640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}