{"id":6314,"date":"2017-08-25T13:27:19","date_gmt":"2017-08-25T17:27:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=6314"},"modified":"2017-08-26T14:06:07","modified_gmt":"2017-08-26T18:06:07","slug":"much-will-texas-rain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=6314","title":{"rendered":"How much will that Texas rain be"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>PUTTING 35 INCHES OF RAIN IN PERSPECTIVE<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/rain.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-6315\" src=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/rain.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"485\" height=\"335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/rain.png 485w, https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/rain-300x207.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 485px) 100vw, 485px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We are always interested in <a href=\"http:\/\/dangoldstein.com\/papers\/Barrio_Goldstein_Hofman_Improving_Comprehension_Numbers_News_CHI16.pdf\">putting numbers<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/grasping-giant-numbers-is-far-from-second-nature-1490952621\">into perspective<\/a>, so we were interested in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/science-and-health\/2017\/8\/26\/16206554\/hurricane-harvey-2017-flood\">this article in which they put the Hurricane Harvey&#8217;s rain into perspective<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>They&#8217;re predicting 30-40 inches of rain in a few days in Texas. They asked an expert to put that into perspective and he said:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Let\u2019s put it in context. Much of the Northeast Corridor \u2014 Washington to New York and Boston \u2014 maybe receives maybe between 40 and 45 inches of rain a year. Think of all the rain you get in July through Christmas and put that in a couple days. It\u2019s a lot of rain.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It&#8217;s easy for us to think in terms of New York City, so we looked up some <a href=\"http:\/\/www.usclimatedata.com\/climate\/new-york\/united-states\/3202\">weather data<\/a>. See the table at the top of this post (all figures are in inches).<\/p>\n<p>First thing we can notice is that the expert understated things, for New York at least. Thirty five inches would be equivalent to all the rain in NYC from <strong>April<\/strong> (not July) to December, inclusive. <\/p>\n<p>But we agree that it&#8217;s a lot of rain.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve always had trouble putting rain forecasts into perspective, so here are some rules of thumb we figured out from the data that we&#8217;re going to memorize. If you live in the corridor from DC to Boston, you may find these useful.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The average amount of rain per rainy day in NYC is .38 inches, which conveniently is about 1 cm. <\/li>\n<li>When you hear it&#8217;s going to rain 1 cm or 3\/8 inch, you can think &#8220;no big deal, that&#8217;s a typical NYC rainy day&#8221;.<\/li>\n<li>If you hear it&#8217;s going to rain an inch, you can think &#8220;oh darn, that&#8217;s like three rainy days worth&#8221;.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Here&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/rmarkdown.rstudio.com\/\">R-markdown<\/a> code if you want to play around:<\/p>\n<p><script src=\"https:\/\/gist.github.com\/dggoldst\/21789790dbf732821a9291c0bfd0f3a6.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PUTTING 35 INCHES OF RAIN IN PERSPECTIVE We are always interested in putting numbers into perspective, so we were interested in this article in which they put the Hurricane Harvey&#8217;s rain into perspective. They&#8217;re predicting 30-40 inches of rain in a few days in Texas. They asked an expert to put that into perspective and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[4,16,74],"tags":[881,1621,550,1084,1208,1081,1624,1623,1622,358],"class_list":["post-6314","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-encyclopedia","category-ideas","category-r","tag-average","tag-markdown","tag-new-york-city","tag-percipitation","tag-r","tag-rain","tag-rainy","tag-storm","tag-texas","tag-weather"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4LKj-1DQ","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6314","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6314"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6314\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6324,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6314\/revisions\/6324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6314"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6314"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6314"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}