{"id":5895,"date":"2016-10-21T17:43:24","date_gmt":"2016-10-21T21:43:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=5895"},"modified":"2016-10-22T16:32:04","modified_gmt":"2016-10-22T20:32:04","slug":"build-distribution-builders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=5895","title":{"rendered":"Build your own distribution builders"},"content":{"rendered":"

A JAVASCRIPT LIBRARY FOR ADDING DISTRIBUTION BUILDERS TO YOUR EXPERIMENTS<\/p>\n

\n\"goldstein2003db\"<\/a>
\nThe drag-and-drop style Distribution Builder of Goldstein Johnson and Sharpe (2008)<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

\n\"dbandre\"<\/a>
\nA balls-and-buckets style Distribution Builder using Quentin Andr\u00e9’s Javascript tool<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n

If you read this website, you probably want to elicit probability distributions from people. A Distribution Builder (DB for short) does just that, and elicits them as cognitively-friendly frequency histograms.<\/p>\n

The Distribution Builder was created by Dan Goldstein, Bill Sharpe and Phil Blythe in the year 2000<\/a> and its first major publication was in 2008<\/a>. The DB is a digital implementation of a method that was first used, as far as we can tell, by Kabus using poker chips in 1976, as cited in this paper by Goldstein and Rothschild (2014)<\/a>, which found that elicitation using a distribution builder beat conventional methods.\n<\/p>\n

Now for the news. Quentin Andr\u00e9<\/a> has built a JavaScript distribution builder that anyone can use and adapt. It creates ball-and-bucket style distribution builders, and has a nice Web site full of documentation<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A distribution builder is a tool to elicit probability distributions from people. Now you can make your own.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[4,16,13,2,15],"tags":[1498,1493,1494,1138,1501,1500,208,1499,1496,354,1502,86,911,486,1497,148,1395,1378,1495],"class_list":["post-5895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-encyclopedia","category-ideas","category-programs","category-research-news","category-tools","tag-andre","tag-builder","tag-db","tag-distribution","tag-elicitation","tag-frequency","tag-goldstein","tag-insead","tag-javascript","tag-johnson","tag-laypeople","tag-probability","tag-program","tag-programming","tag-quentin","tag-risk","tag-rothschild","tag-sharpe","tag-tool"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4LKj-1x5","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5895"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5895\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5912,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5895\/revisions\/5912"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}