{"id":5210,"date":"2015-07-01T00:55:29","date_gmt":"2015-07-01T04:55:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=5210"},"modified":"2015-07-01T10:37:49","modified_gmt":"2015-07-01T14:37:49","slug":"how-long-do-prison-escapees-go-before-being-caught","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=5210","title":{"rendered":"How long do prison escapees go before being caught?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A DOZEN YEARS OF ESCAPE DATA FROM NEW YORK STATE<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/nysb.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5211\" src=\"http:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/nys.png\" alt=\"nys\" width=\"485\" height=\"140\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/><em>Click to enlarge<\/em>\n<\/p>\n<p>The recent prison break in upstate New York got us wondering how long prison escapes tend to last. We found <a href=\"http:\/\/www.doccs.ny.gov\/Research\/annotate.asp\">some data<\/a> on prison escapes in New York State. See the dot plot above.<\/p>\n<p>We then found <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/national\/archive\/2015\/06\/dannemora-prison-fugitive-statistics-escape\/396629\/\">a table in the Atlantic<\/a>, which cites <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thefreelibrary.com\/Examining+prison+escapes+and+the+routine+activities+theory.-a0133139160\">this paper<\/a>, on perhaps more skillful inmates who managed to stay on the run a bit longer, though 80% of them were back in prison inside a week.<\/p>\n<p>The upshot from both analyses is the same: if you escape from prison, you&#8217;re probably going to be re-captured within a day.<\/p>\n<p>R CODE<br \/>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/gist.github.com\/dggoldst\/9c1adcac16d2aad8a176.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How long do prison escapees go before being caught?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[16,74],"tags":[1158,1160,686,1157,169,107,1161,683,1156,1208,1159,409,684],"class_list":["post-5210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ideas","category-r","tag-capture","tag-corrections","tag-day","tag-escape","tag-ggplot","tag-ggplot2","tag-inmate","tag-new","tag-prison","tag-r","tag-re-capture","tag-time","tag-york"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4LKj-1m2","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5210"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5210\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5221,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5210\/revisions\/5221"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}