{"id":126,"date":"2006-05-21T11:11:41","date_gmt":"2006-05-21T10:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/67.18.176.78\/dsn\/?p=126"},"modified":"2006-09-07T22:50:06","modified_gmt":"2006-09-07T21:50:06","slug":"how-good-are-your-estimation-skills","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/?p=126","title":{"rendered":"How good are your estimation skills?"},"content":{"rendered":"

HARVARD CENTER FOR RISK ANALYSIS QUIZ ON CAUSES OF DEATH<\/p>\n

\"hahvahdRisk.jpg\"<\/div>\n

The folks at Risk World<\/a> let me know about this mini-quiz on odds of various causes of death at Harvard’s Center for Risk Analysis.<\/p>\n

It’s a lot more fun if you take the time before going to that page to complete the following quiz.<\/p>\n

The annual risk of dying from the following causes is 1 in ___:
\nheart disease ___
\ncancer ___
\nstroke ___
\naccidents of all kinds ___
\nmotor vehicle accident ___
\nAlzheimer\u00e2\u0080\u0099s disease ___
\nalcohol ___
\nsuicide ___
\nhomicide ___
\nfood poisoning ___
\ndrowning ___
\nfire ___
\nbicycle accident ___
\nlightning ___
\nbioterrorism ___<\/p>\n

Now go take the quiz<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Risks of death are a popular topic among judgment and decision making crowd, the most common reference being to:<\/p>\n

Slovic, P., B. Fischhoff, and S. Lichtenstein (1982), Facts Versus Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk, in D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky (eds.), Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

HARVARD CENTER FOR RISK ANALYSIS QUIZ ON CAUSES OF DEATH The folks at Risk World let me know about this mini-quiz on odds of various causes of death at Harvard’s Center for Risk Analysis. It’s a lot more fun if you take the time before going to that page to complete the following quiz. The […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research-news"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4LKj-22","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=126"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.decisionsciencenews.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}