@article{ArgenzianoEtAl2003, title = {Dermoscopy of pigmented skin lesions: {R}esults of a consensus meeting via the Internet}, author = {Argenziano, Giuseppe and Soyer, H Peter and Chimenti, Sergio and Talamini, Renato and Corona, Rosamaria and Sera, Francesco and Binder, Michael and Cerroni, Lorenzo and De Rosa, Gaetano and Ferrara, Gerardo and others}, journal = {Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology}, year = {2003}, pages = {679--693}, volume = {48} }
@article{BahramiFrith2011, title = {Interacting minds: a framework for combining process-and accuracy-oriented social cognitive research}, author = {Bahrami, Bahador and Frith, Chris D}, journal = {Psychological Inquiry}, year = {2011}, pages = {183--186}, volume = {22}, publisher = {Taylor \& Francis} }
@incollection{BennettEtAl2017, title = {A {B}ayesian model of knowledge and metacognitive control: {A}pplications to \textit{opt-in} tasks}, author = {Bennett, S T and Benjamin, A S and Steyvers, M}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the 39th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society}, publisher = {Cognitive Science Society}, year = {2018}, address = {Austin, {TX}}, editor = {Gunzelman, G and Howes, A and Tenbrink, T and Davelaar, E}, journal = {Manuscript submitted for publication} }
@article{Berg1993, title = {Condorcet's jury theorem, dependency among jurors}, author = {Berg, Sven}, journal = {Social Choice and Welfare}, year = {1993}, pages = {87--95}, volume = {10}, publisher = {Springer} }
@article{BlinderMorgan2005, title = {Are two heads better than one? {M}onetary policy by committee}, author = {Blinder, Alan S and Morgan, John}, journal = {Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking}, year = {2005}, pages = {798--811}, volume = {37} }
@article{Boland1989, title = {Majority systems and the {C}ondorcet jury theorem}, author = {Boland, Philip J}, journal = {The Statistician}, year = {1989}, pages = {181--189}, volume = {38}, publisher = {JSTOR} }
@article{BrooksGelman1997, title = {General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations}, author = {Brooks, S P and Gelman, A}, journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics}, year = {1997}, pages = {434--455}, volume = {7}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2009.03.25} }
@article{BudescuChen2014, title = {Identifying expertise to extract the wisdom of crowds}, author = {Budescu, David V and Chen, Eva}, journal = {Management Science}, year = {2014}, pages = {267--280}, volume = {61} }
@unpublished{CarrLee2016, title = {The use and accuracy of the recognition heuristic in two-alternative decision making}, author = {Carr, Amy M and Lee, M D}, note = {Unpublished undergraduate thesis, University of California, Irvine}, year = {2016} }
@article{Christiansen2007, title = {Prediction markets: Practical experiments in small markets and behaviors observed}, author = {Christiansen, J D}, journal = {The Journal of Prediction Markets}, year = {2007}, pages = {17--41}, volume = {1}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2010.01.21} }
@article{CrosonSundali2005, title = {The gambler's fallacy and the hot hand: {E}mpirical data from casinos}, author = {Croson, Rachel and Sundali, James}, journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty}, year = {2005}, number = {3}, pages = {195--209}, volume = {30}, publisher = {Springer} }
@article{DavisStoberEtAl2014, title = {When is a crowd wise?}, author = {Davis-Stober, Clintin P and Budescu, David V and Dana, Jason and Broomell, Stephen B}, journal = {Decision}, year = {2014}, pages = {79}, volume = {1} }
@article{DavisStoberEtAl2015, title = {The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds}, author = {Davis-Stober, Clintin P and Budescu, David V and Broomell, Stephen B and Dana, Jason}, journal = {Decision Analysis}, year = {2015}, pages = {130--143}, volume = {12}, publisher = {INFORMS} }
@article{Galton1907, title = {Vox Populi}, author = {Galton, F.}, journal = {Nature}, year = {1907}, pages = {450--451}, volume = {75}, owner = {Mark Steyvers}, timestamp = {2009.09.02} }
@article{Goodfellow1938, title = {A psychological interpretation of the results of the {Z}enith radio experiments in telepathy}, author = {Goodfellow, Louis D}, journal = {Journal of Experimental Psychology}, year = {1938}, number = {6}, pages = {601}, volume = {23}, publisher = {American Psychological Association} }
@article{Gordon1924, title = {Group judgments in the field of lifted weights}, author = {Gordon, K H}, journal = {Journal of Experimental Psychology}, year = {1924}, pages = {398--400}, volume = {7}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2013.11.19} }
@article{GrofmanEtAl1983, title = {Thirteen theorems in search of the truth}, author = {Grofman, Bernard and Owen, Guillermo and Feld, Scott L}, journal = {Theory and Decision}, year = {1983}, pages = {261--278}, volume = {15} }
@article{Gurnee1937b, title = {A comparison of collective and individual judgments of fact.}, author = {Gurnee, Herbert}, journal = {Journal of Experimental Psychology}, year = {1937}, pages = {106--112}, volume = {21} }
@article{HastieKameda2005, title = {The robust beauty of majority rules in group decisions}, author = {Hastie, R and Kameda, T}, journal = {Psychological Review}, year = {2005}, pages = {494--508}, volume = {112} }
@article{KerrMacCoun1985, title = {The effects of jury size and polling method on the process and product of jury deliberation.}, author = {Kerr, Norbert L and MacCoun, Robert J}, journal = {Journal of personality and social psychology}, year = {1985}, number = {2}, pages = {349}, volume = {48}, publisher = {American Psychological Association} }
@article{KerrTindale2004, title = {Group performance and decision making}, author = {Kerr, N L and Tindale, R S}, journal = {Annual Review of Psychology}, year = {2004}, pages = {623--655}, volume = {55} }
@article{Koriat2012, title = {When are two heads better than one and why?}, author = {Koriat, Asher}, journal = {Science}, year = {2012}, pages = {360--362}, volume = {336} }
@article{KurversEtAl2016, title = {Boosting medical diagnostics by pooling independent judgments}, author = {Kurvers, Ralf HJM and Herzog, Stefan M and Hertwig, Ralph and Krause, Jens and Carney, Patricia A and Bogart, Andy and Argenziano, Giuseppe and Zalaudek, Iris and Wolf, Max}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences}, year = {2016}, pages = {8777--8782}, volume = {113} }
@article{Ladha1995, title = {Information pooling through majority-rule voting: Condorcet's jury theorem with correlated votes}, author = {Ladha, Krishna K}, journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior \& Organization}, year = {1995}, pages = {353--372}, volume = {26}, publisher = {Elsevier} }
@incollection{Lee2016Stevens, title = {Bayesian methods in cognitive modeling}, author = {Lee, M D}, booktitle = {{The Stevens' Handbook of Experimental Psychology and Cognitive Neuroscience}}, publisher = {Wiley}, year = {2018}, edition = {Fourth} }
@article{LeeDanileiko2014, title = {Using cognitive models to combine probability estimates}, author = {Lee, Michael D and Danileiko, Irina}, journal = {Judgment and Decision Making}, year = {2014}, pages = {259--273}, volume = {9}, publisher = {Society for Judgment and Decision Making} }
@article{LeeEtAl2012, title = {Inferring expertise in knowledge and prediction ranking tasks}, author = {Lee, M D and Steyvers, M and {de Young}, M and Miller, B J}, journal = {Topics in Cognitive Science}, year = {2012}, pages = {151--163}, volume = {4}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2012.12.04} }
@article{LeeEtAl2014WOC, title = {A cognitive model for aggregating people's rankings}, author = {Lee, M D and Steyvers, M and Miller, B J}, journal = {{PLoS ONE}}, year = {2014}, pages = {1--9}, volume = {9}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2014.09.30} }
@incollection{LeeShi2010, title = {The accuracy of small-group estimation and the wisdom of crowds}, author = {Lee, M D and Shi, J}, booktitle = {{Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society}}, publisher = {{Cognitive Science Society}}, year = {2010}, address = {{Austin, TX}}, editor = {Catrambone, R and Ohlsson, S}, pages = {1124--1129}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2010.07.19} }
@article{LeeVanpaemel2017, title = {Determining informative priors for cognitive models}, author = {Lee, M D and Vanpaemel, W}, journal = {Psychonomic Bulletin \& Review}, year = {2018} }
@article{LeeZhangShi2011, title = {{The wisdom of the crowd playing the Price is Right}}, author = {Lee, M D and Zhang, S and Shi, J}, journal = {Memory \& Cognition}, year = {2011}, pages = {914--923}, volume = {39}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2013.04.16} }
@article{LichtensteinFischhoff1977, title = {Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?}, author = {Lichtenstein, Sarah and Fischhoff, Baruch}, journal = {Organizational Behavior and Human Performance}, year = {1977}, pages = {159--183}, volume = {20}, publisher = {Elsevier} }
@article{LorgeEtAl1958, title = {A survey of studies contrasting the quality of group performance and individual performance, 1920--1957.}, author = {Lorge, Irving and Fox, David and Davitz, Joel and Brenner, Marlin}, journal = {Psychological Bulletin}, year = {1958}, pages = {337}, volume = {55} }
@article{Meehan2015, title = {The predominate {G}oliath: {W}hy pay-to-play daily fantasy sports are games of skill under the dominant factor test}, author = {Meehan, Jeffrey C}, journal = {Marquette Sports Law Review}, year = {2015}, pages = {5}, volume = {26}, publisher = {HeinOnline} }
@incollection{MillerSteyvers2011, title = {The wisdom of crowds with communication}, author = {Miller, B and Steyvers, M}, booktitle = {{Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society}}, publisher = {{Cognitive Science Society}}, year = {2011}, editor = {Carlson, L and H\"{o}lscher, C and Shipley, T F} }
@article{MoussaidYahosseini2016, title = {Can simple transmission chains foster collective intelligence in binary-choice tasks?}, author = {Moussa\"{i}d, Mehdi and Yahosseini, Kyanoush Seyed}, journal = {{PloS ONE}}, year = {2016}, pages = {1--17}, volume = {11} }
@article{PageClements2012, title = {Do prediction markets produce well-calibrated probability forecasts?}, author = {Page, L and Clemen, R T}, journal = {The Economic Journal}, year = {2012}, pages = {491--513}, volume = {123} }
@incollection{Plummer2003, title = {{JAGS}: {A} Program for Analysis of {B}ayesian Graphical Models Using {G}ibbs Sampling}, author = {Plummer, M.}, booktitle = {{Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Distributed Statistical Computing}}, year = {2003}, address = {Vienna, Austria}, editor = {Hornik, K. and Leisch, F. and Zeileis, A.}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2013.08.21} }
@article{PrelecEtAl2017, title = {A solution to the single-question crowd wisdom problem}, author = {Prelec, D and Seung, H S and Mc{C}oy, J}, journal = {Nature}, year = {2017}, pages = {532--535}, volume = {541} }
@article{PrelecSeungMcCoy2017, title = {A solution to the single-question crowd wisdom problem}, author = {Prelec, D and Seung, H S and Mc{C}oy, J}, journal = {Nature}, year = {2017}, pages = {532--535}, volume = {541} }
@inproceedings{RosenbergEtAl2016, title = {Crowds vs swarms, a comparison of intelligence}, author = {Rosenberg, Louis and Baltaxe, David and Pescetelli, Niccolo}, booktitle = {{Swarm/Human Blended Intelligence Workshop (SHBI)}}, year = {2016}, organization = {IEEE}, pages = {1--4} }
@article{SelkerEtAl2017, title = {Thurstonian cognitive models for aggregating top-$n$ lists}, author = {Selker, R and Lee, M D and Iyer, R}, journal = {Decision}, year = {2017}, pages = {87--101}, volume = {4} }
@article{SimmonsEtAl2011, title = {Intuitive biases in choice versus estimation: {I}mplications for the wisdom of crowds}, author = {Simmons, Joseph P and Nelson, Leif D and Galak, Jeff and Frederick, Shane}, journal = {Journal of Consumer Research}, year = {2011}, pages = {1--15}, volume = {38} }
@article{SorkinEttAl1998, title = {Group performance depends on the majority rule}, author = {Sorkin, Robert D and West, Ryan and Robinson, Donald E}, journal = {Psychological Science}, year = {1998}, pages = {456--463}, volume = {9} }
@article{SteegenEtAl2014, title = {Measuring the crowd within again: A pre-registered replication study}, author = {Steegen, Sara and Dewitte, Laura and Tuerlinckx, Francis and Vanpaemel, Wolf}, journal = {Frontiers in Psychology}, year = {2014}, volume = {5} }
@book{Surowiecki2004, title = {The wisdom of crowds}, author = {Surowiecki, J}, publisher = {Random House}, year = {2004}, address = {New York}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2010.01.21} }
@book{Suzuki2015, title = {Constitutional calculus: The math of justice and the myth of common sense}, author = {Suzuki, Jeff}, publisher = {JHU Press}, year = {2015} }
@article{TurnerEtAl2014, title = {Forecast aggregation via recalibration}, author = {Turner, Brandon M and Steyvers, Mark and Merkle, Edgar C and Budescu, David V and Wallsten, Thomas S}, journal = {Machine learning}, year = {2014}, pages = {261--289}, volume = {95} }
@article{vanDrielEtAl2014, title = {Interregional alpha-band synchrony supports temporal cross-modal integration}, author = {van Driel, Joram and Knapen, Tomas and van Es, Daniel M and Cohen, Michael X}, journal = {NeuroImage}, year = {2014}, pages = {404--415}, volume = {101}, publisher = {Elsevier} }
@article{VulPashler2008, title = {Measuring the crowd within: Probabilistic representations within individuals}, author = {Vul, E and Pashler, H}, journal = {Psychological Science}, year = {2008}, pages = {645--647}, volume = {19}, owner = {mdlee}, timestamp = {2010.01.21} }
@article{WagenmakersEtAl2016, title = {Bayesian Benefits for the Pragmatic Researcher}, author = {Wagenmakers, E.--J. and Morey, R. D. and Lee, M. D.}, journal = {Current Directions in Psychological Science}, year = {2016}, pages = {169--176}, volume = {25} }
@article{Watts2017, title = {Should social science be more solution-oriented?}, author = {Watts, Duncan J}, journal = {Nature Human Behaviour}, year = {2017}, pages = {1--5}, volume = {1}, publisher = {Nature Publishing Group} }
@article{Weisstein2017, title = {Logistic Equation}, author = {Weisstein, Eric W}, journal = {{MathWorld--A Wolfram Web Resource}}, year = {2017}, note = {{http://mathworld.wolfram.com/LogisticEquation.html}} }
@comment{{jabref-meta: databaseType:bibtex;}}
This file was generated by bibtex2html 1.98.