Top of Form Thank you for agreeing to participate in our survey! We are interested in understanding how people utilize various pieces of information when making predictions. You will perform judgments in two categories: results from baseball games and the Blue Book Value of used cars. For each block of tasks, used the provided information to make your best guess at the outcome. You will predict two blocks in each prediction category. Bottom of Form Here is a definition of the provided information in each prediction category: Baseball Prediction In this category, you will predict the runs allowed by a team during randomly selected Major League Baseball games from the 2014 regular season. The following information will be provided: Hits allowed: A hit is anytime a player successful makes it onto first base, without the benefit of an error, walk, or fielder's choice. Walks issued: A walk occurs when a player reaches base due to four pitches in an at-bat that the umpires calls as "balls", when a player is walked by a pitcher, he is entitled to reach first base without being put out. Strikeouts made: A strikeout occurs when a player accumulates three strikes during any given at-bat. A player who receives three strikes is almost always out, and is not eligible to reach first base. Runs allowed: Runs are the point scored in a baseball game. When players advance from first base to home plate in a series of plays, they score a run for their team. Players who achieve hits or walks are in play and can possibly advance to home plate to score. The team who earns the most runs wins the game. On average, during this season, the team allowed 7.65 hits per game, issued 2.86 walks, made 8.13 strikeouts, and allowed 3.42 runs. You will use a combination of hits allowed, walks issued, and/or strikeouts made to predict the total number of runs that were allowed by a team in a random sample of Major League Baseball games. Vehicle Blue Book Value In this category, you will predict the value of used vehicles (as measured by Kelley's Blue Book, a resource for standardizing the value of used vehicles). The following information will be provided: Age: The approximate age of the vehicle, in years. Mileage: The number of miles that the vehicle has been driven. Original Price: The original manufacturer's suggested retail price. Blue Book value: This is the used value of the vehicle, and is often used as a guide for sales by the existing owner. A vehicle that is older and with more miles will typically have a lower Blue Book Price. A vehicle with a higher original price will have a relatively higher Blue Book price. On average, the car values you will predict have an age of 13.28 years, have 128K miles, and an initial value of $25,000. The average current Blue Book value is $5,100. You will use a combination of age, mileage, and/or the original price to predict the current Blue Book value of a set of vehicles. The values you will predict were randomly sampled from a set of cars being advertised on the website Craigslist. The survey will begin on the next page. You will make predictions in each category twice, using different cues. For each trial, enter your best guess! Be sure to answer each question, or you may not be paid for this HIT. Baseball 2 Cues 8 hits allowed, 1 walk issued How many runs were scored in the game? 8 hits allowed, 6 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 11 hits allowed, 3 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 11 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 1 walk issued How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 8 hits allowed, 1 walk issued How many runs were scored in the game? 11 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 3 hits allowed, 1 walk issued How many runs were scored in the game? 5 hits allowed, 6 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 10 hits allowed, 3 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 0 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 14 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 3 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 1 hit allowed, 3 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 1 walk issued How many runs were scored in the game? 16 hits allowed, 3 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 9 hits allowed, 7 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 8 hits allowed, 1 walk issued How many runs were scored in the game? 10 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 6 hits allowed, 2 walks issued How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 1 walk issued How many runs were scored in the game? Baseball 3 Cues 8 hits allowed, 1 walk issued, 8 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 8 hits allowed, 6 walks issued, 7 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 11 hits allowed, 3 walks issued, 6 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 11 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 7 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 1 walk issued, 6 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 8 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 8 hits allowed, 1 walk issued, 6 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 11 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 9 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 9 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 3 hits allowed, 1 walk issued, 8 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 5 hits allowed, 6 walks issued, 9 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 10 hits allowed, 3 walks issued, 5 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 0 walks issued, 7 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 14 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 9 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 3 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 5 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 7 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 1 hit allowed, 3 walks issued, 10 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 1 walk issued, 4 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 16 hits allowed, 3 walks issued, 10 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 9 hits allowed, 7 walks issued, 12 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 8 hits allowed, 1 walk issued, 10 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 10 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 10 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 7 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 10 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 6 hits allowed, 2 walks issued, 11 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? 4 hits allowed, 1 walk issued, 6 strikeouts made How many runs were scored in the game? Blue Book 3 Cues 10 years old, 156K miles, original price $13,780 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 9 years old, 175K miles, original price $21,270 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 19 years old, 154K miles, original price $16,860 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 16 years old, 111K miles, original price $12,785 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 10 years old, 90K miles, original price $48,365 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 12 years old, 115K miles, original price $19,200 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 20 years old, 154K miles, original price $18,985 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 8 years old, 90K miles, original price $33,150 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 11 years old, 150K miles, original price $32,650 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 18 years old, 120K miles, original price $16,480 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 11 years old, 128K miles, original price $29,735 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 10 years old, 179K miles, original price $19,425 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 15 years old, 115K miles, original price $24,175 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 13 years old, 82K miles, original price $27,100 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 3 years old, 27K miles, original price $34,995 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 10 years old, 66K miles, original price $32,445 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 14 years old, 140K miles, original price $44,115 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 20 years old, 113K miles, original price $14,530 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 15 years old, 144K miles, original price $12,885 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 14 years old, 159K miles, original price $13,383 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 12 years old, 116K miles, original price $15,560 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 13 years old, 144K miles, original price $23,995 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 18 years old, 160K miles, original price $12,635 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 16 years old, 170K miles, original price $29,920 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 15 years old, 145K miles, original price $54,005 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? Blue Book 2 Cues 10 years old, 156K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 9 years old, 175K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 19 years old, 154K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 16 years old, 111K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 10 years old, 90K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 12 years old, 115K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 20 years old, 154K miles, original price $18,985 What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 8 years old, 90K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 11 years old, 150K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 18 years old, 120K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 11 years old, 128K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 10 years old, 179K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 15 years old, 115K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 13 years old, 82K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 3 years old, 27K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 10 years old, 66K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 14 years old, 140K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 20 years old, 113K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 15 years old, 144K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 14 years old, 159K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 12 years old, 116K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 13 years old, 144K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 18 years old, 160K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 16 years old, 170K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 15 years old, 145K miles What is the current Blue Book Value of the car? 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