$1 million for sure | 10% chance of $5 million |
89% chance of $1 million | |
1% chance of $0 |
11% chance of $1 million | 10% chance of $5 million |
89% chance of $0 | 90% chance of $0 |
10% chance of $1 million | 10% chance of $5 million |
1% chance of $1 million | 1% chance of $0 |
89% chance of $0 | 89% chance of $0 |
Risky option | Safe option | ||
Gains | CC-high | 10% chance of $___ 89% chance of $250 1% chance of $0 | 100% chance of $250 |
CC-low | 10% chance of $___ 90% chance of $0 | 11% chance of $250 89% chance of $0 | |
Reflected Losses | CC-high | 10% chance of -$___ 89% chance of -$250 1% chance of $0 | 100% chance of -$250 |
CC-low | 10% chance of -$___ 90% chance of $0 | 11% chance of -$250 89% chance of $0 | |
Shifted Mixed | CC-high | 10% chance of $___ 89% chance of $1 1% chance of -$249 | 100% chance of $1 |
CC-low | 10% chance of $___ 90% chance of -$249 | 11% chance of $1 89% chance of -$249 | |
Common consequence | Gains | Reflected Loss | Shifted Loss |
CC-high | 434 (281) | -407 (256.) | 16 (19) |
CC-low | 327 (169) | -331 (196) | 6.8 (12) |
CC-high minus CC-low | 107 (282) | -78 (241) | 9.3 (21) |
Response Pattern | Gains | Reflected Loss | Shifted Loss |
Allais Paradox | 36% (73) | 30% (51) | 47% (96) |
Reverse Allais Paradox | 15% (31) | 11% (19) | 13% (26) |
EU consistent | 48% (97) | 59% (102) | 39% (81) |
Risky option | Safe option | ||
Normal | CC-high | 10% chance of $___ 89% chance of $25,000 1% chance of $0 | 100% chance of $25,000 |
CC-low | 10% chance of $___ 90% chance of $0 | 11% chance of $25,000 89% chance of $0 | |
Standard Split | CC-high | 10% chance of $___ 89% chance of $25,000 1% chance of $0 | 10% chance of $25,000 89% chance of $25,000 1% chance of $25,000 |
CC-low | 10% chance of $___ 1% chance of $0 89% chance of $0 | 10% chance of $25,000 1% chance of $25,000 89% chance of $0 | |
Odd Split | CC-high | 10% chance of $___ 89% chance of $25,000 1% chance of $0 | 10% chance of $25,000 89% chance of $25,000 1% chance of $25,000 |
CC-low | 10% chance of $___ 45% chance of $0 45% chance of $0 | 5% chance of $25,000 6% chance of $25,000 89% chance of $0 | |
Common consequence | Unsplit | Standard Split | Nonstandard Split |
CC-high | 49,007 (30,039) | 42,652 (23,867) | 42,652 (23,867) |
CC-low | 33,275 (17,511) | 39,950 (20,878) | 45,024. (23,108) |
CC-high minus CC-low | 14,866 (28,754) | 2498 (22,073) | -2438 (25,528) |
Response Pattern | Unsplit | Standard Split | Nonstandard Split |
Allais Paradox | 44% (61) | 30% (45) | 28% (41) |
Reverse Allais Paradox | 12% (17) | 22% (33) | 38% (56) |
EU Consistent | 44% (62) | 49% (74) | 35% (52) |