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Archive for 'Encyclopedia'

Random walking

Filed in Encyclopedia ,Ideas ,R
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BAGEL SHOP IDEA I was sitting in a bagel shop on Saturday with my 9 year old daughter. We had brought along hexagonal graph paper and a six sided die. We decided that we would choose a hexagon in the middle of the page and then roll the die to determine a direction: 1 up […]

The journal Judgment and Decision Making preliminarily ranks 9 out of 104 journals in replicability

Filed in Encyclopedia ,Research News
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JDM IS TOO LEGIT TO CEASE IN ITS REPLICABILITY The R-Index blog was created by Ulrich Schimmack and aims to increase the replicability of published results in psychological science. Recently, the blog created rankings of 104 psychology journals in terms of replicability and published preliminary results. More detail can be found here. We were pleased […]

How long do you need to flip a coin to see a streak?

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STREAK RESULTS FOR LIKELY (>50%) and HIGHLY LIKELY (>99%) Click to enlarge From research on the hot hand to the observation that people don’t create enough streaks when instructed to create pseudo random data, the decision science community is pretty interested in the perception of streaks. One day we got to wonder, how long would […]

Richard Thaler wins Nobel Prize in Economics

Filed in Encyclopedia ,Gossip
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AFTER KAHNEMAN IN 2002, THE SECOND “BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS” NOBEL GOES TO THALER The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2017 has been awarded to Behavioral Economist Richard Thaler of the University of Chicago Booth School of Business “for his contributions to behavioural economics“. Dr. Thaler was born in 1945 and […]

Does cooperation in the prisoner’s dilemma unravel after ridiculously many repeated plays?

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GUEST POST BY SID SURI: MONTH LONG PRISONER’S DILEMMA Figure 1: All the games and random rematchings in one out of the twenty sessions we conducted. Each block of green/red shows a game where green represents cooperation and red represents defect. Curves between the games represent how players were randomly rematched. DSN readers, you are […]

The Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM) now has a blog

Filed in Encyclopedia ,Ideas ,SJDM
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SJDM LAUNCHES THE NEW IT’S YOUR CHOICE BLOG The Society for Judgment and Decision Making (JDM Society) has gone a long time without a web log. They have a journal, a newsletter, and a fine conference, but until recently no blog to call their own. That changes now with the launch of It’s Your Choice, […]

How much will that Texas rain be

Filed in Encyclopedia ,Ideas ,R
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PUTTING 35 INCHES OF RAIN IN PERSPECTIVE We are always interested in putting numbers into perspective, so we were interested in this article in which they put the Hurricane Harvey’s rain into perspective. They’re predicting 30-40 inches of rain in a few days in Texas. They asked an expert to put that into perspective and […]

Five kinds of weather you’ll meet in America

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K-MEANS CLUSTERING, A WORKHORSE OF DATA SCIENCE AND MACHINE LEARNING CLICK TO ENLARGE The USA is a large country. How different are people’s experiences of the weather depending on where they live? To look into this question, we downloaded high temperature data for over 1,300 airport weather stations in the contiguous USA for every day […]

Weighted population density

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DENSITY THE AVERAGE PERSON EXPERIENCES CLICK TO ENLARGE In Alaska, there’s about one person for each square mile of land. You might picture a typical Alaskan not being able to see the next house. But it’s not that way of course. Most of Alaska is uninhabited. People have crowded into a few areas. The average […]

Counterintuitive problem: Everyone in a room keeps giving dollars to random others. You’ll never guess what happens next.

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This was unexpected.