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Archive for 'Articles'

Further advice for navigating the waters of mediation analysis

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Decision Science News has posted before on Zhao, Lynch, and Chen’s practical article on mediation analysis. John Lynch has written the following, re-emphasizing the article’s main points:

Poker is a game of skill: is mutual fund management?

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This week, two fun Econ-Finance papers. First is Steven Levitt and Thomas Miles’ analysis of whether poker is a game of skill. Next the famous Fama-French duo ask the same question of mutual fund management.

Our research meets Saturday Night Live

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Decision Science News readers know about Hal Hershfield and Dan Goldstein’s experiments in which they exposed people to interactive images of their future self to see how it would impact their saving behavior (pictured above).
The idea was sent up in three Saturday Night Live fake commercials for Lincoln Financial. The SNL interactions with the future self were a lot more awkward than ours, but maybe that’s a good thing for changing behavior?

Publish your health nudges

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With this call for papers, we hope to attract manuscripts that are
outstanding empirical and/or theoretical exemplars of research on any health
related topic from a behavioral and/or experimental economic perspective. We
anticipate studies will focus on a range of topics, including, but not
limited to: Smoking, Dietary choices, Adherence to treatment, Decision
making, Risk taking behavior, Choice architecture, Information asymmetry and
use of monetary incentives to alter behavior. We expect papers to reflect a
variety of methodologies but to highlight implications of the research for
practitioners and policy makers.

The Effectiveness of Simple Decision Heuristics: Forecasting Commercial Success for Early-Stage Ventures

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Most inventions fail to be commercialized profitably. Wouldn’t it be nice to be able to predict which ones will? This paper, by Astebro and Elhedhli argues that a simple rule can do quite well making forecasts in a difficult real-world setting.

Third of three special JDM journal issues on the Recognition Heuristic

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The journal Judgment and Decision Making today published the third special issue on “Recognition processes in inferential decision making (III)” edited by Julian N. Marewski, Rüdiger F. Pohl and Oliver Vitouch. All the articles address the recognition heuristic [Goldstein, D. G. & Gigerenzer, G. (2002). Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. Psychological Review, 109, 75-90.]

The no-decision diet revealed

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Last week, Decision Science News posted about a “no-decision diet” in which its editor followed, for one week and without exceptions, a healthy diet designed by someone else. Since then, a number of people have written in asking to have a look at the diet. If you were hoping to find out what the diet included, today is your lucky day.

Questioning the evidence of influence in social networks

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In a short span of time, two articles have emerged that question some notable claims of influence in social networks. This does seem important, so we list them here.

Brands in Australia. Special JDM issue on recognition (Vol II).

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Editor John Baron and special issue editors Julian N. Marewski, Rüdiger F. Pohl and Oliver Vitouch are proud to announce the second special issue of the journal Judgment and Decision Making on Recognition Processes in Inferential Decision Making. The issue includes 7 new articles.

Some ideas on communicating risks to the general public

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SOME EMPIRICAL BASES FOR CHOOSING CERTAIN RISK REPRESENTATIONS OVER OTHERS An example of an information grid This week DSN posts some thoughts (largely inspired by the work of former colleagues Stephanie Kurzenhäuser, Ralph Hertwig, Ulrich Hoffrage, and Gerd Gigerenzer) about communicating risks to the general public, providing references and delicious downloads where possible. Representations to […]