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Daily Archive December 1st, 2009

A simple heuristic to forecast elections

Filed in Research News
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PREDICTING ELECTIONS FROM THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING THE COUNTRY Andreas Graefe and Scott Armstrong have put forth a model that predicts the outcome of U.S. Presidential Elections based on the most important issue as seen by voters. It’s a good illustration of how one cue, if it’s a good one, can be effective for […]